Pennsylvania mail voters: party registration margin?
8.0 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione10g
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
D+37 to D+39.9 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
D+37 to D+39.9 27%In testa tra 7 esiti
D+37 to D+39.9 27%Qualità del mercato
37 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
44,6 €
Open interest
3K USD
Open interest medioBid / Ask
— / —
D+37 to D+39.9Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 minuti fa
24 set 26, 21:00 UTC4 nov 26, 14:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · D+37 to D+39.9
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Robinhood (Rothera)Regole
If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between 37 and 39.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:University of Florida Election Lab
- The value is the Democrat figure minus the Republican figure in the "Percent" column (share of mail ballots accepted) of the "Returned Mail Ballots by Party Registration" table on the Pennsylvania page of the UF Election Lab's 2026 Early Voting Tracker, as displayed to one decimal place at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026. The "Percent Returned" column is not used. If the page is unavailable at that time, the same percentages computed from the acceptdem, acceptrep and accept_none values for Pennsylvania in the UF Election Lab's 2026 early vote data file (https://election.lab.ufl.edu/data-downloads/earlyvote/2026/US.csv) and rounded to one decimal place are used. A negative value is a Republican lead. Each range includes both of its endpoints. Updates posted after that time are not counted.
Regole per ogni esito
- D+37 to D+39.9
- If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between 37 and 39.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- D+40 or more
- If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is at least 40 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- D+34 to D+36.9
- If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between 34 and 36.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- D+31 to D+33.9
- If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between 31 and 33.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- D+28 to D+30.9
- If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between 28 and 30.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below D+25
- If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is below 25 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- D+25 to D+27.9
- If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between 25 and 27.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.