Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 02:09 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attuale
Democratic Party 64.9%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
20
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto16 gen 26, 11:26 UTC1 gen 29, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will be on the winning U.S. presidential ticket (President + VP) in 2028?
Manifold Markets“Which candidate has the best chance of winning the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election as the Democratic nominee?”
Manifold MarketsWill a major 2028 Democratic presidential candidate propose creating a Cabinet-level department to deal with AI risk?
Manifold MarketsWill Tim Walz be the Presidential or Vice Presidential candidate for the Democrats in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?
PolymarketWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Cape Verde election?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- The 2028 U.S. presidential election is scheduled for November 7, 2028.
- The market resolves to whichever party the winning candidate is affiliated with at the time of their victory.
- Resolution will be determined by the official Electoral College results and the candidate's party affiliation as recorded by the Federal Election Commission and major news outlets.
- The "Other" category should only resolve yes if a candidate from a party other than Democratic, Republican, or Independent wins the presidency.
- I WILL bet in this market.
