What major event will precipitate the next run on toilet paper in the United States?
Trade PolicyOne-OffHealth & Medicine11mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 18 lug 2026, 00:20 UTC · criterio pm-quality-2
Previsione della comunità attualeA new global pandemic 5.7%In testa tra 22 esiti
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 giorni fa
Obsoleto17 lug 25, 0:1417 lug 27, 0:13
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
A new global pandemic6%
Trend del volume
$917 lug2g di dati18 lug
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first major event that leads to a significant run on toilet paper in the United States.
- A "run" is defined as a nationwide shortage reported by major news outlets, characterized by widespread consumer stockpiling and empty shelves across multiple states.
- The event must be identified as the primary cause of the shortage.
- If multiple events occur simultaneously, the market will resolve to the event most widely recognized as the catalyst.
- Reliable sources such as the Associated Press, Reuters, or major national newspapers will be used to determine the outcome.