Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato
Previsione della comunità attuale
Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct) 60.7%
In testa tra 14 esiti
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+54.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto
11 dic 24, 16:3731 ago 27, 21:59
Trend
Esito24hProbabilità
Critically Endangered
0.5%
Data Deficient
0.4%
Least Concern
0.3%
Near Threatened
0.3%
Vulnerable
0.3%
Endangered
0.3%
Extinct in the Wild
0.3%
Not Evaluated
0.3%
New Conservation Status
0.3%
No Assessment for Taxonomic Reasons
0.3%
Regole
The Baiji, a species of freshwater dolphin native to the Yantze River system in China, is currently listed as the named outcome (possibly extinct) on the IUCN Red List of Threatened Species.
It was last assessed in August 2017.
This market will resolve based on the conservation status assigned to the Baiji by the IUCN in its next Red List assessment.
The target resolution date is August 2027 (10 years after the last assessment).
However, resolution might occur earlier or later, depending on when the next assessment takes place.
The possible outcomes align with the official IUCN Red List categories: the named outcome, the named outcome, Vulnerable, Endangered, the named outcome, the named outcome, Extinct, the named outcome, the named outcome.
Domande frequenti
Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What Conservation Status Will the IUCN Assign to the Baiji (Lipotes Vexillifer) in Its Next Red List Assessment??
Manifold Markets quota Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct) al 61% al 21 agosto 2026.
Quando si risolve What Conservation Status Will the IUCN Assign to the Baiji (Lipotes Vexillifer) in Its Next Red List Assessment??
What Conservation Status Will the IUCN Assign to the Baiji (Lipotes Vexillifer) in Its Next Red List Assessment? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 agosto 2027.
Come viene liquidato What Conservation Status Will the IUCN Assign to the Baiji (Lipotes Vexillifer) in Its Next Red List Assessment??
Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The Baiji, a species of freshwater dolphin native to the Yantze River system in China, is currently listed as the named outcome (possibly extinct) on the IUCN Red List of Threatened Species.