Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 23:51 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 75.3%
Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo22 set 26, 13:50 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
We get probability distribution market on Manifold by EOY27
- Not the same as numerical markets.
- At minimum, requires traders to be able to purchase on at least 3 parameters.
- Possible examples include skew normal distributions, or multiple distinct numerical ranges (eg. 0%-1% and 99%-100%)
- Distribution market
- Dave White (@_Dave__White_) on X