Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBefore July 2027 83.7%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
16
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto18 ott 25, 14:11 UTC1 lug 27, 14:07 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a non-Anthropic company make a Mythos-class model generally available worldwide in 2026?
Manifold MarketsKalshi generally available to UK customers by when?
Manifold MarketsPolymarket generally available to UK customers by when?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
PolymarketBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the date when Waymo officially launches a fully driverless (no human safety driver present) public ride-hailing service in London.
- The service must be generally available to the public for booking rides via the Waymo app or a confirmed partner application.
- The resolution will be based on an official announcement from Waymo (e.g., on its official blog or press releases) or a definitive statement from the UK Department for Transport (DfT) or Transport for London (TfL) confirming the commercial availability of such a service.
- Evidence of availability will include the ability for the general public to request and complete rides without a human safety driver in the vehicle.
- The mere commencement of testing with or without safety drivers, or limited pilot programs not generally available to the public, will not be sufficient for resolution.
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8am EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 961,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 741,9K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 701,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 685,8K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.4pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 907,2K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 altri esiti
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
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- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Waymo generally available in London when??
- Manifold Markets quota Before July 2027 al 84% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Waymo generally available in London when??
- Waymo generally available in London when? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 luglio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Waymo generally available in London when??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria