Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 05:41 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 87.6%
Previsori
16
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto11 giu 25, 14:25 UTC31 dic 27, 15:21 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?
PolymarketWill The Next US Supreme Court Justice Be Appointed By A Democrat?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Supreme Court issue a preliminary or permanent injunction halting Tariffs on China?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Supreme Court uphold AR-15-like weapons bans?
Manifold MarketsWill US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?
KalshiWhich Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Supreme Court issues a final ruling in favor of President Donald Trump in the case of Trump v.
- Wilcox by December 31, 2027.
- A ruling in favor of Trump would affirm his authority to remove National Labor Relations Board (NLRB) member Gwynne Wilcox without cause.
- The market will resolve to "No" if the Supreme Court rules against Trump, denying him this authority, or if no ruling is issued by the specified date.
- The primary source for resolution will be the official Supreme Court docket and opinion, accessible at Supreme Court Docket.