UK Autumn Budget 2026: will employer NICs be cut or the secondary threshold raised?
One-OffRegolamentazionePolitica16gManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 84.6%
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Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
22 set 26, 14:32 UTC28 ott 26, 12:00 UTC
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PolymarketRegole
YES if the Budget lowers the 15% employer rate or raises the £5,000 secondary threshold for employers generally.
- Sector-specific reliefs resolve NO.
- Resolves YES if the measure is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech on 28 October 2026 or appears in the Budget documents HM Treasury publishes that day (the Budget document, the policy decisions table, the policy costings, or the Overview of Tax Legislation and Rates).
- A measure announced earlier counts if those documents confirm it.
- A consultation, review or call for evidence alone resolves NO.
- This market closes at 12:00 UTC on Budget day, 30 minutes before the speech is due to begin, because measures resolve as the Chancellor announces them.