Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualex ≥ 250 100%In testa tra 19 esiti
Previsori
54
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+0.9 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
28 dic 25, 13:01 UTC31 gen 27, 12:42 UTC
Trend
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
99.9%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketWill the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025?
Manifold MarketsMeasles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
FutuurNumber of measles deaths reported by CDC in the US in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
How many cases of measles will be reported in the US during 2026?
- If the number of cases x is equal to or greater than the number listed in an option as reported by the Johns Hopkins Measles Tracker, it will resolve to YES.
- Otherwise, the option will resolve to NO.
- The market will resolve at the end of January 2027 to allow for lag in reporting.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? · ↑3.5k 100%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Measles cases in 2026? · Above 3000 99%
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — Measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · 3,000 or more 97%
Mercati aperti
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Volume totale
- 15,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 11,6K €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No-1.0pt93.1%
- Yes+1.0pt6.9%
- Volume totale
- 921K €
- Volume 24h
- 4,7K €
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k100%
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIMedtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
- Above 8%92%
- Above 9%81%
- Above 11%45%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4K €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-1.0pt60%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 869,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3K €
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Volume totale
- 612,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Total cases of measles reported in US during 2026?
- Manifold Markets quota x ≥ 250 al 100% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Total cases of measles reported in US during 2026?
- Total cases of measles reported in US during 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 31 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Total cases of measles reported in US during 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: How many cases of measles will be reported in the US during 2026?
- Dove altro è quotato Total cases of measles reported in US during 2026?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket, Kalshi, Futuur.