"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avengers: Endgame"? (>$2.8B worldwide)
IntrattenimentoOne-OffBox Office / Streaming5mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 93.9%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
29 ago 26, 01:36 UTC1 mar 27, 05:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.6 billion worldwide?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
Polymarket"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?
Manifold MarketsWill Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be delayed?
PolymarketAvengers: Doomsday: Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Spider-Man: Brand New Day (2026) achieves a lifetime worldwide box office gross of $2,797,501,328 ($2.79 billion) or more by February 28, 2027.
- If it does not reach this milestone by that date, the market resolves to NO.
- Resolution will be determined using the official worldwide box office figures reported on:
- Box Office Mojo All-Time Worldwide Chart
- The Numbers All-Time Worldwide Chart
Mercati aperti
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 319,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 98K €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 altri esiti
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 80K €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 130,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3K €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4 Mln €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avengers: Endgame"? (>$2.8B worldwide)?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 94% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avengers: Endgame"? (>$2.8B worldwide)?
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avengers: Endgame"? (>$2.8B worldwide) dovrebbe risolversi il 1 marzo 2027.
- Come viene liquidato "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avengers: Endgame"? (>$2.8B worldwide)?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria