Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 72.8%
Previsori
26
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto5 feb 24, 22:11 UTC2 gen 28, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Someone dies wearing Apple Vision Pro
Manifold MarketsWill people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Apple Vision Pro be worn in public in 2027?
Manifold MarketsApple Vision Pro discontinued before 2028?
Manifold MarketsApple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
PolymarketWho is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves Yes if credible media reports comes out of a person crashing a car while wearing Apple Vision Pro.
- They must be wearing it at the time of the accident, and must be the one driving.
- Resolves No if this doesn't happen by 2028.
