Significant attack on post-quantum signature FALCON published before Nov 2026
One-OffCriptoTecnologia7gManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 91.5%
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4
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto21 nov 23, 20:05 UTC1 nov 26, 22:59 UTC
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KalshiRegole
Resolves Yes, if, before November 2026, an attack on quantum or conventional computer of the signature scheme FALCON (1) is published (preprint, journal article or conference proceeding), that leads to NIST dropping the algorithm from its post-quantum standard, or discouraging its use; or alternatively, if multiple recognized/leading cryptographers recommend against its use.
- I reserve the right to discuss in the comments, temporarily halt trading, and possibly even resolve N/A on ambiguity.
- Suggestions and comments on resolution criteria are welcome if made well in advance of the resolving event
- (1) https://falcon-sign.info/
