Previsione della comunità attuale
2026-07-31 / 31st July 2026 100%In testa tra 12 esiti
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
25 mag 26, 16:07 UTC30 dic 30, 22:59 UTC
Trend
100%
Regole
Each answer resolves YES if Keir Starmer’s successor is Prime Minister at 00:01 on the date listed in the answer AND has been so continuously since their appointment.
- If they lose their job for any reason (including death/firing/resignation/losing an election) then all remaining answers will resolve NO.
- Add more dates if you want more granularity.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per On what dates will Andy Burnham be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom??
- Manifold Markets quota 2026-07-31 / 31st July 2026 al 100% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve On what dates will Andy Burnham be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom??
- On what dates will Andy Burnham be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 dicembre 2030.
- Come viene liquidato On what dates will Andy Burnham be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Each answer resolves YES if Keir Starmer’s successor is Prime Minister at 00:01 on the date listed in the answer AND has been so continuously since their appointment.