Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeErica stanford 34.9%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto10 ago 26, 08:50 UTC10 ago 33, 08:49 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?
Manifold MarketsWill Winston Peters be the leader of NZ First at the end of the next parliamentary term (likely 2026)?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Next Leader of the National Party of New Zealand?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: National Party # of seats?
PolymarketNZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegole
Resolves yes to the next leader of New Zealands national party.
- Interim and acting leaders don’t count, must be the official leader
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,6 Mln €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 984,1K €
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Next leader of the NZ National Party?
- Manifold Markets quota Erica stanford al 35% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Next leader of the NZ National Party?
- Next leader of the NZ National Party dovrebbe risolversi il 10 agosto 2033.
- Come viene liquidato Next leader of the NZ National Party?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves yes to the next leader of New Zealands national party.