Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 65.6%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo10 apr 26, 09:59 UTC31 dic 30, 08:58 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Next James Bond is Callum Turner or Aaron Taylor-Johnson?
Manifold MarketsWill Callum Turner cheat on Dua Lipa?
Manifold MarketsWill Aaron Taylor-Johnson be the next James Bond?
Manifold MarketsNext James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl
KalshiNext James Bond film: Actor cast as the villain
KalshiNext James Bond film: Actor cast as Q
KalshiRegole
Resolves yes if Callum turner or Aaron Taylor Johnson is officially announced as the next James Bond actor.
- Resolves n/a Jan 1 2031 if no one is chosen.
Mercati aperti
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 319,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 98K €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 altri esiti
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 80K €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 130,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3K €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4 Mln €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Next James Bond is Callum Turner or Aaron Taylor-Johnson??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 66% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Next James Bond is Callum Turner or Aaron Taylor-Johnson??
- Next James Bond is Callum Turner or Aaron Taylor-Johnson? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Next James Bond is Callum Turner or Aaron Taylor-Johnson??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves yes if Callum turner or Aaron Taylor Johnson is officially announced as the next James Bond actor.