Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 64.2%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto21 mag 25, 17:10 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
Oscar-winning director László Nemes (Son of Saul) is set to adapt Cormac McCarthy’s novel Outer Dark into a feature film.
- The film will star Jacob Elordi (Euphoria, Saltburn) and Lily-Rose Depp (Nosferatu, The Idol) as siblings entangled in a harrowing tale set in Depression-era Appalachia.
- Production is scheduled to begin in 2026, with an anticipated release in mid-2027.
- This market will resolve to YES if, by 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 31, 2027, a new Outer Dark film:
- Has a confirmed theatrical release in any country, evidenced by listings on reputable platforms such as IMDb, Box Office Mojo, or official press releases.
- Is available for streaming on a major platform accessible in the U.S., including but not limited to Netflix, Amazon Prime Video, Hulu, Max, Apple TV+, or Disney+.
Mercati aperti
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 Mln €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6K €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume totale
- 736,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Outer Dark (McCarthy) film adaptation before 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 64% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Outer Dark (McCarthy) film adaptation before 2028??
- Outer Dark (McCarthy) film adaptation before 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Outer Dark (McCarthy) film adaptation before 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Oscar-winning director László Nemes (Son of Saul) is set to adapt Cormac McCarthy’s novel Outer Dark into a feature film.