Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeAngus Taylor 50%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto1 dic 25, 00:07 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Ontario Liberal Party leadership election winner?
KalshiWho will be the leader of the Liberal Democrats going into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsOntario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegole
Users are welcome to add options to the market.
- User-submitted options may be edited to correct apparent spelling errors or to remove duplicate options.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the name of the person who is the leader of the Liberal Party of Australia at the close date.
- This market is set to close at 12:59:00 UTC on 31 December 2027.
- Further information
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mld €
- Volume 24h
- 2,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 altri esiti
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Volume totale
- 29,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 621,6K €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Volume totale
- 19,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 488,8K €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 altri esiti
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Leader of the Liberal Party of Australia at the end of 2027?
- Manifold Markets quota Angus Taylor al 50% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Leader of the Liberal Party of Australia at the end of 2027?
- Leader of the Liberal Party of Australia at the end of 2027 dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Leader of the Liberal Party of Australia at the end of 2027?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Users are welcome to add options to the market.