Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 17:45 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attuale
No 90.7%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto25 lug 26, 12:32 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Kimi K4 released by which date?
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KalshiKimi Moonshoot IPO before 2028?
Manifold MarketsBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
PolymarketUS Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
PolymarketSecond-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Moonshot AI officially releases or makes publicly available the "Kimi K4" large language model (or any model explicitly designated under the "Kimi K4" naming convention, such as Kimi K4 Max, Kimi K4 Swarm, or Kimi K4 Base) on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- To qualify for a YES resolution, the model must be made available through at least one of the following:
- Released open-weights to the public (e.g., via Hugging Face or the Moonshot AI GitHub)
- Integrated as an active model variant in the Kimi chat interface/app (kimi.com)