Kalshi offers at least one sports prediction contract in January 2027
RegolamentazioneOne-OffMaterie prime3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 85.7%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
1 ott 25, 19:00 UTC31 gen 27, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market predicts whether Kalshi will offer any sports prediction contracts (such as team championships, game outcomes, etc.) during January 2027.
- Kalshi began offering sports contracts in January 2025 after self-certifying them with the CFTC.
- Since then, they've faced legal challenges from multiple states, with mixed results in court.
- Some federal courts have ruled that the Commodity Exchange Act preempts state gambling laws (Nevada, New Jersey), while others have ruled in favor of state regulation (Maryland).
- The market will resolve YES if Kalshi offers at least one sports-related prediction contract (defined as a prediction on a sports team to win or lose a sporting event) at any point during January 2027.
- It will resolve NO if Kalshi offers zero sports-related prediction contracts during that month.
