Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 99%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto29 mar 26, 21:11 UTC30 dic 26, 20:10 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will James Fishback announce a run for public office?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketCalifornia Governor winner? (Person)
KalshiRegole
Resolves Yes if before end of 2026 it is revealed James fishback did the campaign to see how stupid /anti semitic/racist conservatives are.
- If he announced it was a stunt to see which conservatives would support him.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-5.0pt70.3%
- Yes+5.0pt29.7%
- Volume totale
- 14,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 759K €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+2.0pt48.1%
- D-House, R-Senate34.6%
- R-House, R-Senate-1.0pt15.4%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff-0.3pt16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt13%
+48 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change60.8%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt36.3%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt2%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt64%
- October 31+2.0pt37%
- September 3017%
+17 altri esiti
KALSHIBlanchet vs Harris
- Ugo Blanchet55.5%
- Billy Harris44.5%
- Volume totale
- 378,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 263,3K €
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing?
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Is James fishback a stunt??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 99% al 14 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Is James fishback a stunt??
- Is James fishback a stunt? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Is James fishback a stunt??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves Yes if before end of 2026 it is revealed James fishback did the campaign to see how stupid /anti semitic/racist conservatives are.