KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiNessuna attività di trading
Dati al 14 set 2026, 20:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2027 0%
Qualità del mercato
24 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaBid / Ask
20.0% / 30.0%
Spread
10.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
10 set 26, 02:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Is James fishback a stunt?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If James Fishback announces after Issuance that they will run for any government office in ANY YEAR the named outcome, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:James FishbackThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency.
- Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement.
- Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify.
- Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office.
- The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
Mercati aperti
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+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
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- Before Jul 1, 2027+16.0pt52%
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- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 altri esiti
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- Marine Le Pen+0.5pt36.1%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt27.8%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will James Fishback announce a run for public office??
- Kalshi quota Before Jan 1, 2027 al 0% al 14 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will James Fishback announce a run for public office??
- Will James Fishback announce a run for public office? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will James Fishback announce a run for public office??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If James Fishback announces after Issuance that they will run for any government office in ANY YEAR the named outcome, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.