Is it extremely likely Democrats will win the house in 2026 midterm elections?
39.0 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 20261m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeYes, Democrats will win a clear majority 89%+39.0ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+39.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 33 minuti fa
3 nov 26, 06:46 UTC31 dic 26, 11:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Republicans lose the house in 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWill GOP redistricting help Republicans win the house in 2026 midterm elections?
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Manifold MarketsShould I expect Democrats to win back the house in 2026 midterm election?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win a House supermajority in the Midterms?
KalshiWill the Republicans win the Senate and Democrats win the House in the 2026 election?
ForecastExRegole
Resolution criteria
- This is an independent multiple-choice market.
- Each option will resolve YES or NO independently based on official certification and election returns from the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections (concluding with the seating of the 120th Congress in January 2027).
- The official seat count will be verified via the Clerk of the United States House of Representatives or major election reporting consensus (e.g., Associated Press, Decision Desk HQ).
- The total voting membership of the U.S. House of Representatives is 435 seats (218 required for an outright majority).
- Options resolve as follows:
