Should I expect Democrats to win back the house in 2026 midterm election?
42.0 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 202628g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeYes, Democrats will win back the House 92%+42.0pt
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+42.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto31 ott 26, 18:06 UTC30 nov 26, 11:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Democrats win back the House in 2026 ?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win back the house in 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill "Why we should expect ruthless sociopath ASI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats lose the house in the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWill any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?
PolymarketHow many House seats will Republicans win in the 2026 midterm election?
PredictItRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on the official outcome of the 2026 United States House of Representatives elections.
- Each answer option will resolve independently as follows:
- "the named outcome": Resolves YES if the Democratic Party wins at least 218 seats (or a majority of the seats contested) in the 2026 U.S. House elections, thereby taking majority control of the chamber for the 120th Congress.
- Otherwise, it resolves NO.
- "the named outcome": Resolves YES if the Republican Party retains at least 218 seats (or a working majority) following the 2026 midterm elections.
