Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeJournal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics 69.4%
Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto7 apr 26, 02:47 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Where will this paper be accepted? (Do Black Holes Exist? by Modesto, Rattu)
Manifold MarketsWhere will this paper be accepted? (Black Mirrors:CPT-Symmetric Alternatives to Black Holes by Tzanavaris, Boyle, Turok)
Manifold MarketsWill we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market refers to "Cosmological black holes in the inflationary epoch" by Ertola Urtubey Milos, Daniela Pérez (https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2603.04590)
- An answer resolves to Yes if the paper is accepted to be published in that journal before the end of 2026.
- The market resolves to "Others" if the paper is accepted by no journal before the end of 2026.
Mercati aperti
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume totale
- 57,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume totale
- 817,9K €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per In which journal will this paper be accepted in 2026? (Milos and Pérez)?
- Manifold Markets quota Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics al 69% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve In which journal will this paper be accepted in 2026? (Milos and Pérez)?
- In which journal will this paper be accepted in 2026? (Milos and Pérez) dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato In which journal will this paper be accepted in 2026? (Milos and Pérez)?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market refers to "Cosmological black holes in the inflationary epoch" by Ertola Urtubey Milos, Daniela Pérez (https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2603.04590)