In 2027, will Manifold poll show Minnesota shooting had greater immigration enforcement impact than Laken Riley?
Politica USAOne-Off1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 11:02 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 63%
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8
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto9 gen 26, 02:43 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
At the end of 2026 I will make a poll (basically) identical to this: {https://manifold.markets/JeromeHPowell/which-incident-do-you-believe-will}
- The market will resolve to Yes, No, or 50%, 50% being in case of a tie.
- I am open to changes to this model of resolution, but if a lot of people trade before a change, I will keep it how it is most likely.
- I am very interested!
- [link preview]