If Labour wins the 2026 NZ general election, they are dependent on support from Te Pāti Māori to govern
PoliticaOne-OffElezioneSportCrime & JusticeUS PoliticsChess2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 64.4%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto21 mar 26, 17:34 UTC21 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
New Zealand Labour forms a government in 2026 without requiring support from Te Pāti Māori
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the Mt Albert electorate in the 2026 NZ General election?
Manifold MarketsWho will I party vote for in the 2026 NZ General Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
PolymarketWho will be a part of the next government of Israel?
KalshiWho will be a part of the next government of Sweden?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This is a conditional market and will resolve NA if Labour does not win the 2026 NZ general election.
- This market resolves YES if, following the 2026 New Zealand general election on 7 November 2026, Labour forms a government and requires the support of Te Pāti Māori to command a majority in Parliament.
- This includes scenarios where Te Pāti Māori is part of a formal coalition government or provides confidence and supply support.
- The market resolves NO if Labour wins the election but can form a government without Te Pāti Māori support (e.g., with only the Greens, or with sufficient seats to govern alone or with other parties).
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Governor-General regarding government formation and any published coalition agreements.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,6 Mln €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 984,1K €
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If Labour wins the 2026 NZ general election, they are dependent on support from Te Pāti Māori to govern?
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 64% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve If Labour wins the 2026 NZ general election, they are dependent on support from Te Pāti Māori to govern?
- If Labour wins the 2026 NZ general election, they are dependent on support from Te Pāti Māori to govern dovrebbe risolversi il 21 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato If Labour wins the 2026 NZ general election, they are dependent on support from Te Pāti Māori to govern?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria