Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 56%
Previsori
16
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto10 feb 26, 01:46 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee, and will he win?
Manifold MarketsIf James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf Josh Turek is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNH-01 Democratic nominee?
KalshiNH-02 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-01 Democratic nominee?
KalshiRegole
Resolves N/A if anyone else is nominated by the DNC.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 56% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election??
- If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves N/A if anyone else is nominated by the DNC.