If Eliezer Yudkowsky loses his bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin, what is the reason why?
One-OffSocietà e culturaScienzaManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeUFOs are a product of a massive conspiracy unrelated to non-human entities 21%In testa tra 18 esiti
Previsori
60
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto7 ago 23, 22:27 UTC1 gen 00, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
This market is intended to aggregate the most likely reasons why UFO's have word-view shattering origins (for Eliezer Yudkowsky), and reward those who thought of them first.
- In most worlds, I expect this market to resolve "N/A", but who doesn't like the idea of finding the best conspiracy theory.
- I will resolve it to the answer that closest/most specificly details why, so long as it was posted prior to the "worldview shattering event" becoming public knowledge.
- If my resolution appears to controversial, I am quite happy to let a group of trustworthy-ish users/admins re-resolve it.
- This question resolves N/A if Eliezer wins this bet:
- (https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/t5W87hQF5gKyTofQB/?commentId=rsKjPAPqeFwQuNibD)Kudos to @Joshua's market for bringing this bet to my attention.
