Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If elected, will President Trump succeed in jailing his opponents??

Manifold Markets quota No al 61.6% al 2 novembre 2026.

Come viene liquidato If elected, will President Trump succeed in jailing his opponents??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if any political opponent of Trump is arrested on charges brought at Trump’s behest.

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 61.6%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 12 ore fa

Obsoleto

27 ott 24, 19:48 UTC1 gen 29, 07:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

Resolves YES if any political opponent of Trump is arrested on charges brought at Trump’s behest.

This is in response to Trump’s recent statement that “there are enemies within”.
Criminal charges against any public figure perceived by Trump or his supporters to have acted contrary to Trump qualify for this market.
Criminal charges that result in arrest resolve YES, even if the defendant is booked and released pending trial.
Charges that do not result in arrest (eg civil charges) do not resolve this market.
The results of trials based on charges that predate Trump’s second term do not resolve this market.