If Republicans win the 2024 U.S. presidency, will an AI kill 10% of the human population before 2028?
PoliticaIAOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneGeopolitica1a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 97%
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19
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
6 mag 23, 02:39 UTC5 gen 28, 23:59 UTC
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Doesn't count if the AI was just following human directions.
- E.g. if humans escalate to a nuclear war, and the launch process happens to involve an AI, that's not the spirit of the question.
- It should be an accident, or an "unaligned" AI.
- If instead the Democrat wins the POTUS 2024 election, then we resolve this N/A to refund the trades.
- We would then look to the sibling question:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/ScroogeMcDuck/if-democrats-wins-the-2024-us-presi)
