How will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia?
PoliticaOne-OffElezioneGeopoliticaRussia / Ukraine14aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeDie in office 66.5%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
28
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto16 ago 23, 09:56 UTC31 dic 40, 22:59 UTC
Trend
0.4%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Reason why Vladimir Putin ceases to be the President of Russia
Manifold MarketsWhen will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Putin cease to be the President of Russia?
Manifold MarketsWill Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?
PolymarketPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegole
Here are some details on the individual answers:
- the named outcome - this also applies if Putin doesn't actually die but becomes severely incapacitated and unable to rule while in office (like Salazar).
- the named outcome - this implies Putin accepts the results.
- If he holds on to power, he doesn't cease to become president.
- the named outcome - this would mean he maintains significant control of the country/government/security services, e.g. as a Prime Minister, Head of Security Council or some kind of Father of the Nation (like Nazarbayev).
- the named outcome - by anything from a palace coup (think Khrushchev) to a popular uprising.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia??
- Manifold Markets quota Die in office al 67% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia??
- How will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2040.
- Come viene liquidato How will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Here are some details on the individual answers: