Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeDemocratic President, Democratic senate 42%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+22.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo7 set 26, 00:57 UTC31 dic 43, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
New Supreme Court justice confirmed?
KalshiSupreme Court Justice Out/New Justice Confirmed by EOD Jan 3 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next justice be confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next justice confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Supreme Court justice?
KalshiAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves according to whoever is president and which party controls the senate when the next Supreme Court justice is confirmed.
- ‘Other’ is for (rare) possibilities, such as a third party president or a senate controlled by third parties.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How will the next Supreme Court justice be confirmed??
- Manifold Markets quota Democratic President, Democratic senate al 42% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How will the next Supreme Court justice be confirmed??
- How will the next Supreme Court justice be confirmed? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2043.
- Come viene liquidato How will the next Supreme Court justice be confirmed??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves according to whoever is president and which party controls the senate when the next Supreme Court justice is confirmed.