Previsione della comunità attuale
>=50 82.2%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
25
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto14 lug 24, 19:21 UTC1 gen 30, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Kemi Badenoch lead the Conservative party into the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election?
Manifold MarketsWho will lead the Conservative Party into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsPierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
KalshiNext General Election Conservative Leader - Boris Johnson
SmarketsNext General Election Conservative Leader - Kemi Badenoch
SmarketsRegole
The Conservatives won 121 seats in the 2024 general election.
- How many will they win in the next one?
- If the Conservative party splits into multiple parties, or some MPs defect to other parties, the party that is considered the "real" Conservative Party will be the one who the largest number of the 121 MPs elected in July 2024 are members of.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How many seats will the UK Conservative Party win at the next general election??
- Manifold Markets quota >=50 al 82% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How many seats will the UK Conservative Party win at the next general election??
- How many seats will the UK Conservative Party win at the next general election? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato How many seats will the UK Conservative Party win at the next general election??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The Conservatives won 121 seats in the 2024 general election.