How many "safe" House seats will flip in 2026?
One-OffElezionePolitica USAElezioni di metà mandato USA 2026Politica4gManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale≥8 56.8%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto24 gen 26, 22:30 UTC2 nov 26, 23:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many House seats will flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
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KalshiRegole
A seat "flips" if won by a different party than won it in 2024.
- Independents count based on which party they caucus with.
- The 68 "competitive" seats are those in Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
- This market covers the remaining 367 seats.
- Model as of question creation: mean 16, ≥10 covers 92%, ≥20 covers 22%.