Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeFull 4-year term or more 68%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
26
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto2 mag 25, 13:42 UTC31 ott 29, 04:30 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Trump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
PolymarketWhat will Mark Carney say during the United Nations General Assembly?
KalshiWhat will Mark Carney say during his remarks with the Prime Minister of Norway?
KalshiWill Mark Carney remain in office as Prime Minister of Canada through the end of 2026?
Futuurmark carney removed by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to the option that accurately reflects the duration of Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal government, measured from his swearing-in on March 14, 2025, until the end of his tenure as Prime Minister.
- The available options are:
- the named outcome
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom16%
+48 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mld €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.5%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 193,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt91%
- Republican Party-0.8pt9%
- Volume totale
- 29,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 506,4K €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro+24.8pt58.8%
- Delcy Rodríguez-27.5pt40.2%
- No Head of State+0.3pt1%
+13 altri esiti
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Third Term99%
+34 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 843,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 408K €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep60.2%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt29.6%
- Republicans sweep-1.6pt9.2%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 14,8 Mln €
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How long will the Mark Carney liberal government last??
- Manifold Markets quota Full 4-year term or more al 68% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How long will the Mark Carney liberal government last??
- How long will the Mark Carney liberal government last? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 ottobre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato How long will the Mark Carney liberal government last??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria: