Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualethrough June 2024 100%In testa tra 14 esiti
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 40 minuti fa
6 dic 23, 08:09 UTC1 gen 31, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Each market resolves YES when I have contiguously lived in San Francisco until the end of that month.
- I count it as living in SF if I tell people while abroad that "I live in SF", even if I haven't been in SF for e.g. a month.
- When I trade in this market I will try to trade based on what I believe in the moment of trading (i.e. to trade in the direction of my belief).
- I currently have a lease until..
- June 2024, I think?
