Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 95.5%
Previsori
24
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto7 mag 26, 13:32 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
KalshiWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiNew pandemic in 2026? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsRegole
Extending Ms ( https://manifold.markets/bagofsprite/hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026-polymar?r=S3Jvbm9zMTc3MA ) 2026 terminating market (mirroring Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026) ) to include 2027.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- (Twenty Twenty SEVEN) Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications.
- A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.