Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 95.5%
Previsori
24
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto7 mag 26, 13:32 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWill a vaccine against the Andes virus (hantavirus) be tested in humans before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsNew pandemic before 2028?
PolymarketWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiRegole
Extending Ms ( https://manifold.markets/bagofsprite/hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026-polymar?r=S3Jvbm9zMTc3MA ) 2026 terminating market (mirroring Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026) ) to include 2027.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- (Twenty Twenty SEVEN) Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications.
- A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercati aperti
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Volume totale
- 15,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 11,6K €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No-1.0pt93.1%
- Yes+1.0pt6.9%
- Volume totale
- 921K €
- Volume 24h
- 4,7K €
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k100%
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIMedtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
- Above 8%92%
- Above 9%81%
- Above 11%45%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4K €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-1.0pt60%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 869,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3K €
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Volume totale
- 612,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1K €
- When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
- What will RFK say during RNC Midterm Convention?
- Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
- Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Hantavirus Pandemic 2026-2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 96% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Hantavirus Pandemic 2026-2027??
- Hantavirus Pandemic 2026-2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Hantavirus Pandemic 2026-2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Extending Ms ( https://manifold.markets/bagofsprite/hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026-polymar?r=S3Jvbm9zMTc3MA ) 2026 terminating market (mirroring Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026) ) to include 2027.