Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 53%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto13 gen 26, 23:54 UTC1 gen 27, 00:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will there be any simple text-based task that most humans can solve, but top LLMs can't? By the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsETH price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Sep 22, 2026?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 22, 2026?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
PolymarketRegole
I criteri di risoluzione non sono ancora disponibili per questo mercato. Questa sezione verra popolata con i prossimi aggiornamenti quando le regole della fonte saranno salvate.
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 22, 2026?
- Miami+10.0pt99%
- College Station+83.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+89.0pt99%
+24 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 691,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 670,4K €
KALSHIETH price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,020 or above99%
- $2,100 or above99%
- $2,140 or above99%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 633,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 438,9K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 22, 2026?
- 77° to 78°+49.0pt95.2%
- 81° to 82°1%
- 74° or below-5.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 408,8K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $77,000 or above+1.0pt99%
- $76,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $78,000 or above+2.0pt99%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- 220-239+16.0pt39.6%
- 200-219-2.0pt24.8%
- 240-259+5.0pt18.8%
+23 altri esiti
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 21 - September 23, 2026?
- 65-89+17.0pt69%
- 90-114+16.8pt30%
- 115-139-2.5pt1%
+7 altri esiti
- BTC price on Sep 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 22, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 22, 2026?
- ETH price range on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Highest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 22, 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 22, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Eric can solve a binary search usaco question by end of semester?
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 53% al 22 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Eric can solve a binary search usaco question by end of semester?
- Eric can solve a binary search usaco question by end of semester dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.