Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 54.6%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto8 gen 24, 11:18 UTC30 giu 28, 13:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Bitcoin be above $69K on both 6/9 AND 9/6 in 2027? (June 9th and Sept 6th)
Manifold MarketsWho will die first? Trump or Biden?
Manifold MarketsIf the US strikes Iran by June 30th, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
Manifold MarketsDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiVenezuela leader end of 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Referring to the Trump and Biden candidates for the 2024 election.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase-6.0pt49.5%
- No change+5.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 7,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 755,3K €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 586,9K €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+3.0pt100%
- September 25+10.5pt95%
- September 30+7.5pt85%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.9pt91%
- Republican Party-0.6pt9%
- Volume totale
- 29,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 427,4K €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+2.0pt60.4%
- D-House, R-Senate29.7%
- Republicans sweep-0.3pt8.9%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- September 30+3.4pt100%
- October 31+2.8pt100%
- December 31+2.0pt100%
+3 altri esiti
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Either Trump OR Biden will be deceased by June 30th 2028?
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 55% al 21 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Either Trump OR Biden will be deceased by June 30th 2028?
- Either Trump OR Biden will be deceased by June 30th 2028 dovrebbe risolversi il 30 giugno 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Either Trump OR Biden will be deceased by June 30th 2028?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Referring to the Trump and Biden candidates for the 2024 election.