Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Yes (99%)
Risolto: 29 set 2026, 13:43
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 30 set 2026, 05:23 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes99%
No1%
Vinta
Persa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
Resolves YES if a competition called the 'Patriot Games' (or similar (decided by me)), is held between high school aged students in the USA during 2026.
- They are supposed to be one boy and girl from each of the 50 states and potentially US territories.
- The only thing I care about regarding this defining factor is that students from the 50 states could have competed, if they don't end up showing up because of logistics or something else I don't really care whether the final competition ends up being 50 boys and girls.
- to be clear: I am very doubtful this even happens in a remotely resembling fashion compared to what Trump has said, so I if something even close to what Trump has described or what the general public envisions happening, I will resolve YES.
- But I am highly skeptical it is even close.