Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 97%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto12 gen 26, 04:02 UTC31 ott 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Democrats win any senate seat this is not a current main target?
Manifold MarketsTipping point state vote margin for Dem Senate majority in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext Senate Majority Leader?
PolymarketIF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?
Manifold MarketsJohn Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader?
KalshiWill the Republican Party win a US Senate Majority in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExRegole
Resolves YES if democrats and those who caucus with democrats hold a majority(51 or more seats) in the senate before end of day 1 November 2026 in Washington DC.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Democrats have senate majority before 1 November 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 97% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Democrats have senate majority before 1 November 2026??
- Democrats have senate majority before 1 November 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Democrats have senate majority before 1 November 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if democrats and those who caucus with democrats hold a majority(51 or more seats) in the senate before end of day 1 November 2026 in Washington DC.