Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 95.8%
Previsori
37
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto30 mar 25, 22:01 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
Currently the Democrats hold 47 seats in the Senate (including the two independents who caucus with them, Sanders and King).
- This resolves YES if they GAIN seats (including any independents that caucus with them, or that a media consensus views as likely to caucus with them, or predominantly aligned with the democrat party and their views).
- If there are special elections or some sort of party flips of members between now and the election, this market will still require the democrats to gain seats during the midterms.
- That is to say, let's say one republican flips to being a democrat and there are then 48 dem seats in the senate, then they will have to have 49 seats after the midterm elections.
- If there are some sort of election-rigging claims, or the senate is disbanded, or the Trump admin stops democratic senators from being seated, or some other hijinxes ensue, I will use my judgement to ensure a fair resolution.
- Thus, I will not bet in this market.
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Democrats gain Senate seats in 2026 midterm elections??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Democrats gain Senate seats in 2026 midterm elections??
- Democrats gain Senate seats in 2026 midterm elections? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Democrats gain Senate seats in 2026 midterm elections??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Currently the Democrats hold 47 seats in the Senate (including the two independents who caucus with them, Sanders and King).