Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeHakeem Jeffries & Chuck Schumer 46.2%+6.9ptIn testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+6.9 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
21 mar 26, 22:27 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which party will control congress after the 2028 elections
Manifold MarketsDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves according to the leaders of the house Democratic caucus and senate Democratic caucus after votes have been cast for their leaders, temporary or acting leaders don’t count.
- Does not matter if the caucus is in the majority or minority, this is caucus vote not speaker vote.
- Hakeem Jeffries and NOT Jeffries are the house options, Chuck Schumer and NOT Schumer are the senate options.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 193,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 710,8K €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 584,6K €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Volume totale
- 29,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 407,5K €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 14,9 Mln €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Democratic Leaders in Congress after 2026 elections??
- Manifold Markets quota Hakeem Jeffries & Chuck Schumer al 46% al 21 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Democratic Leaders in Congress after 2026 elections??
- Democratic Leaders in Congress after 2026 elections? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Democratic Leaders in Congress after 2026 elections??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves according to the leaders of the house Democratic caucus and senate Democratic caucus after votes have been cast for their leaders, temporary or acting leaders don’t count.