Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 11 giu 2026, 17:45 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Previsione della comunità attualeDemocratic Party 97.8%In testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
27
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 45 giorni fa
Obsoleto10 apr 24, 17:564 nov 26, 7:59
Trend
0.2%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Democratic Party98%
Confronta le piattaforme· Democratic Party
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMigliore in assoluto80% di corrispondenza · verificato | Alta | 95% | — | 96,5 € | 530,9K € | 16 minuti fa | Apri → |
| Manifold MarketsQuesta pagina | — | 98% | — | — | — | 45 giorni fa |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
California Governor winner?
0.4 pts1a
-0.4pt94.1%
5.9%
78 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione
Volume totale1 Mln €
Volume 24h96,5 €
KALSHIRegole
This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may resolve early.
- If a candidate switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$2.2k93.7%KALSHIRepublican party — No8 gg fa
KALSHIRepublican party — No8 gg fa$1.3k93.7%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes10 gg fa
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes10 gg fa$1.5k95.0%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes10 gg fa
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes10 gg fa$2.4k94.4%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes11 gg fa
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes11 gg fa$1.4k94.8%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes11 gg fa
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes11 gg faMercati Correlati
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
944,2K €Kamala Harris: 10%KALSHI
KALSHI
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
896,2K €Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Presidential Election Winner 2028
554,1K €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
397K €Gavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
191,6K €Jay Collins: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
142,9K €Haley Stevens: 36%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRegole
This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may resolve early.
- If a candidate switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.