Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeDemocratic Party 96%In testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
29
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+1.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto10 apr 24, 17:56 UTC4 nov 26, 07:59 UTC
Trend
0.1%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Georgia Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Manifold MarketsTexas Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNew York Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Manifold MarketsCalifornia Governor Election Winner
PolymarketCalifornia Governor Election: Fresno County Winner
PolymarketCalifornia Governor Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may resolve early.
- If a candidate switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — California governor election winner · Xavier Becerra 88%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — California Governor winner? · Xavier Becerra 96%
- Disponibile anche su PredictIt — Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? · Xavier Becerra 95%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — California Governor Election Winner · Xavier Becerra 95%
- Disponibile anche su Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 California Governor Race · Democrat 93%
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 114,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.7%
- Gavin Newsom14.6%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 185,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
- Ulf Kristersson+9.0pt27.4%
- Ebba Busch+0.4pt1%
+7 altri esiti
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Democratic Party al 96% al 12 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026??
- California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 4 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- Dove altro è quotato California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Futuur, Kalshi, PredictIt, Polymarket, Robinhood (Rothera).