Probabilità implicita attuale
Xavier Becerra 94.1%-0.4pt
Qualita del mercato
78 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
96,5 €
Liquidità
530,9K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
95.1% / 95.4%
Spread
0.3 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 23 minuti fa
10 gen 25, 15:003 nov 27, 15:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Xavier Becerra95%
Confronta le piattaforme· Xavier Becerra
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Alta | 95% | — | 96,5 € | 530,9K € | 23 minuti fa | |
 Manifold Markets80% di corrispondenza · verificato | — | 98% | — | — | — | 45 giorni fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets
California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
3m
97.8%
1.9%
0.2%
Previsione della comunità27 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegole
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$2.2k93.7%KALSHIRepublican party — No8 gg fa
KALSHIRepublican party — No8 gg fa$1.3k93.7%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes10 gg fa
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes10 gg fa$1.5k95.0%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes10 gg fa
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes10 gg fa$2.4k94.4%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes11 gg fa
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes11 gg fa$1.4k94.8%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes11 gg fa
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes11 gg faTrend del volume
$1102 lug26g di dati27 lug
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If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.