Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato
Previsione della comunità attuale
Boom Overture will not make a supersonic passenger-carrying flight 80%
In testa tra 18 esiti
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-9.9 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto
5 feb 25, 02:15 UTC1 gen 41, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Esito24hProbabilità
Regole
Resolves based on the date of the first reported supersonic passenger-carrying flight of the Boom Overture aircraft.
For a given year of resolution, all markets up to the year before will resolve "NO", then all markets for that year and later will resolve "yes".
So for example, if the Overture makes its first passenger-carrying flight on 2030-06-01, then "the named outcome":"the named outcome" will resolve "NO", and "the named outcome":"the named outcome" will resolve "YES".
If the flight was conducted at the end of one year but the press release made at the start of the next, I will resolve based on the datetime of the flight, not the press release.
"Passenger-carrying" is a little vague, but I'll take this to be carrying non-engineering and non-pilot passengers who do not work for Boom, as on a maiden flight.
They do not need to have paid for that ticket to be classified as "passengers".
Quali sono le probabilità attuali per By when will the Boom Overture make its first supersonic passenger-carrying flight??
Manifold Markets quota Boom Overture will not make a supersonic passenger-carrying flight al 80% al 22 settembre 2026.
Quando si risolve By when will the Boom Overture make its first supersonic passenger-carrying flight??
By when will the Boom Overture make its first supersonic passenger-carrying flight? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2041.
Come viene liquidato By when will the Boom Overture make its first supersonic passenger-carrying flight??
Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves based on the date of the first reported supersonic passenger-carrying flight of the Boom Overture aircraft.