By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050?

Domande frequenti

Quali sono le probabilità attuali per By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050??

Manifold Markets quota No al 81% al 28 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050??

By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2051.

Come viene liquidato By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: If the following metaculus market resolves positively before the end of 2050: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/

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KALSHI

When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?

• Before 2027+8.0pt49.5%
• Before November+8.0pt15.5%

+1 altri esiti

Volume totale

99,2K €

Volume 24h

5,9K €

POLYMARKET

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

• ↑4.75k-0.8pt99%
• ↑5k98%
• ↑5.5k+4.7pt95%

+13 altri esiti

Volume totale

POLYMARKET

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

• No+0.2pt98%
• Yes-0.2pt2%

Volume totale

16,8 Mln €

Volume 24h

1,5K €

KALSHI

Pandemic in 2026?

• No96.5%
• Yes3.5%

Volume totale

909K €

Volume 24h

1,2K €

POLYMARKET

How many US births in 2026?

• 3.56M–3.59M30.4%
• 3.53M–3.56M20%
• 3.65M+17.4%

+4 altri esiti

Volume totale

1,2K €

POLYMARKET

New pandemic in 2026?

• No-0.2pt96%
• Yes+0.2pt4%

Volume totale

1,1 Mln €

Volume 24h

1K €

• How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
• Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
• Measles cases in 2026?
• New pandemic before 2028?
• Ebola pandemic in 2026?
• Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
• Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
• Plague declared public health emergency by which date?
• Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?
• Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?