Previsione della comunità attuale
2027 98.2%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto13 nov 24, 11:2131 dic 29, 22:59
Trend
0%
Regole
[tweet]Not sure how to define the criteria on this since it consists of many different components.
- Someone have any good suggestions? For now I've got this:
- If PPE or HALO is never launched, the date of that decision counts.
- If PPE and HALO are both launched, the date of the decision to never send humans there anymore counts.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Mqrius/before-when-will-sls-be-cancelled-Q00SAhqLc9)Possible clarification from creator (AI generated):
- If Gateway is launched into any orbit around the moon (not just NRHO), it still counts as Gateway
Mercati aperti
Dogecoin
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KALSHIWhat will Tesla say during the Cybercab Launch?
- Event does not qualify88%
- Flood / Flooding39%
- AI437%
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KALSHIWhat will Trump say during his remarks at Steel Across America?
- Tunnel to Towers-2.0pt84%
- NYPD / FDNY+3.0pt82%
- Venezuela+8.0pt53%
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KALSHIWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention?
- Democrat+1.0pt96%
- Fake News92%
- Biden-1.0pt92%
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- Volume totale
- 90,1K €
KALSHIWhat companies will Trump say in September?
- ExxonMobil / XOM+28.0pt99%
- Chevron / CVX+5.0pt99%
- Apple / AAPL99%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 44,2K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned??
- Manifold Markets quota 2027 al 98% al 3 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned??
- Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: [tweet]Not sure how to define the criteria on this since it consists of many different components.