Quali sono le probabilità attuali per BCI + AI Hivemind before 2050??

Manifold Markets quota No al 53.1% al 10 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve BCI + AI Hivemind before 2050??

BCI + AI Hivemind before 2050? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2049.

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 53.1%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 ora fa

In ritardo

2 lug 26, 19:29 UTC31 dic 49, 23:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

Will there exist a population of individuals with BCI and Ai capabilities that act as a hivemind before 2050?

Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if, by December 31, 2049, at 11:59 PM UTC, there is credible, public verification of a group of 4 or more humans who use brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) and artificial intelligence (AI) to function as a "hivemind" or collective intelligence network.
To resolve YES, the following conditions must be met:
BCI & AI Integration: Group members must utilize functional, active brain-computer interfaces (invasive or non-invasive) that are integrated with AI systems.
Direct Cognitive Synchrony: The system must allow direct brain-to-brain or brain-to-AI-to-brain communication, facilitating the pooling of thoughts, sensory data, motor outputs, or decisions without relying on traditional manual or verbal communication (e.g., speaking, typing, or standard screens).