Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Any Canadian federal MPs floor-cross in the next year??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 76.7% al 25 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Any Canadian federal MPs floor-cross in the next year??

Any Canadian federal MPs floor-cross in the next year? dovrebbe risolversi il 8 aprile 2027.

Come viene liquidato Any Canadian federal MPs floor-cross in the next year??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria

Simula un'operazione

Any Canadian federal MPs floor-cross in the next year?

One-OffPolitica5m

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

Sì 76.7%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 11 ore fa

Obsoleto

8 apr 26, 15:32 UTC8 apr 27, 15:31 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Mercati Correlati

Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.

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Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if at least one federal Member of Parliament changes party affiliation while in office between April 7, 2026 and April 7, 2027.
Resolution will be based on official announcements from the House of Commons or confirmed reporting from major Canadian news outlets (CBC, CTV, Globe and Mail, National Post).
The MP must formally join a different party caucus or sit as an independent after leaving their original party.
The most recent floor crosser is Gladu.
Will anyone else switch parties in the next year?

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Any Canadian federal MPs floor-cross in the next year?

Any Canadian federal MPs floor-cross in the next year?

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